This post first appeared on Minyanville.
Every November, delis, pizza parlors and sushi joints throughout Manhattan enjoy a boon to their evening takeout business: Wall Street traders and bankers start putting in late night face time to juice their annual bonuses.
Every November, that is, except this one.
The ongoing financial crisis has forced firms around the world to take almost $700 billion in losses, according to Bloomberg. As bonus season looms on Wall Street, expectations are bleak.
Two studies, released today by the Options Group and compensation consultant Johnson Associates, will detail just how bad things are. Estimates vary, but Wall Street bonuses will likely drop by between 20-70%, depending on position in the pecking order. The departments most responsible for the massive losses, primarily structured credit and mortgage-backed securities, will face the steepest reductions, but no group will be left untouched.
According to the Wall Street Journal, firms like Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) typically hand out half of all revenue to employees. Particularly at these bulge bracket companies, the bulk of that money comes in the form of end-of-year bonuses.
Now that these firms have accepted government money to help shore up their balance sheets, increased scrutiny is being placed on bonus payouts - especially at the top. Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein is being urged to forgo his 2008 bonus, despite his firm’s ability to ride out the crisis better than most.
But financial firms aren’t just cutting bonuses in an attempt to keep cash close to home. They’re also handing out pink slips.
Bloomberg is reporting Goldman started a round of layoffs yesterday that will result in a reduced headcount of around 3,200, or 10% of its total employees. Many analysts expect Goldman to post its first quarterly loss since the financial crisis began last year, when it reports earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter in December.
Not to be outdone, Citigroup (C) is said to be eliminating 9,100 positions over the next 12 months, or 2.6% of its massive workforce. CEO Vikrim Pandit has been aggressively cutting costs since he took the helm last year, and this would not the first time Citi has laid off staff to slim down its bloated operations.
These and other job cuts in industries throughout the economy all add up to one ugly jobs report, due out before the market opens tomorrow. Some expect job losses for the past month to be as high as 200,000, bringing the year’s total to over one million.
If things don’t turn around quickly, those delis and sushi joints may have to start in with some layoffs of their own.
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