Thursday, October 23, 2008

Fannie, Freddie Jump on Grenade

This post first appeared on Minyanville and Cirios Real Estate.

For anyone wondering where the billions of dollars in worthless mortgage-backed securities will wind up, look no further: The mirror.

Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), the formerly quasi-public, now taxpayer-owned mortgage behemoths, are stealthily sopping up the worst of the structured mortgage debt Wall Street churned out during the boom.

In a story that barely made the back pages of the nation’s newspapers, the Federal Housing Finance Agency announced Fannie and Freddie will start purchasing $40 billion per month of “underperforming mortgage bonds.”

If this program is indicative of the care with which Washington plans to deploy taxpayer money to clean up the mortgage mess, we’re going to need a lot more than $700 billion.

In September, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson rationalized the seizure of Fannie and Freddie by saying, “It’s very possible for not only the taxpayer not to be hurt or to make money, but for the shareholders to have some value restored to them.” It’s unclear how targeting the worst quality assets on the market will achieve this end.

The initiative -- which is outside the scope of the recently announced bailout plan -- intends to bring liquidity to the frozen mortgage markets. Regulators hope the effect will be lower rates on new mortgages, softening the blow of tumbling home prices.

Policy-makers are desperate to find ways to make buying a house easier, as banks continue to tighten lending requirements to shield themselves from further losses. From big banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) to small, regional players like Gateway Bank in San Francisco, lenders are making it harder to take out mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and just about every other type of consumer debt.

The inevitable regulatory reaction in the coming years is likely to make getting a mortgage even harder.

Coupled with the growing belief in Washington that freezing the foreclosure process is necessary to stem the tide of repossessions decimating communities across the country, mortgage rates aren’t likely to fall any time soon.

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